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Historic Bond Market Rally Continues

The "Santa Claus Rally" in stocks is an often-discussed phenomena in the markets, but it was the bond market that has displayed some holiday cheer this year. Let's discuss what happened last week and look into the final trading days of the year. Crazy 8's In late October 30-yr mortgage rates hit 8%; the highest […]

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Fed Pivots, Bonds Celebrate

This past week the good vibes in the financial markets continued. Interest rates hit their best levels since the Summer and continued their historic run lower. Let's discuss what happened and look at the week ahead. Winning Streak Extends to Six Through late October, we were experiencing one of the worst bond market/interest rate trends […]

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Bonds Rally Ahead of Fed Meeting

Home loan rates have enjoyed the sixth consecutive weekly decline as bond friendly news continues to hit the wires. Let's review what is happening in the financial markets, the economy and prepare for a big news week ahead. Winning Streak Extends to Six Through late October, we were experiencing one of the worst bond market/interest […]

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Home Loan Rates Ease Further

Home loan rates continued their decline which started at the beginning of November. Let's look at what happened this past week and prepare for the big news ahead. Bonds Enjoy the Best Month in Forty Years So how good has the bond market been in November? According to Bloomberg's widely followed U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, […]

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Inflation Eased, Bonds Pleased

This past week interest rates held near the best levels in two months in response to bond-friendly news. Let's review what happened last week and look at what to watch for this coming week. Inflation is Declining Disinflation, or the rate of inflation declining, is in full bloom. The Consumer Price Index was reported on […]

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Rates Improve As Fed Tone Softens

This past week, interest rates held steady and near the best levels in over one month. Let's look at what happened last week and peek into the week ahead. Treasury Selling More Debt Last week, the Treasury Department sold over $100 billion worth of Treasuries, to fund the government. The increase in our deficit spending […]

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Fed Pauses, Rates Decline

This past week, the Federal Reserve did not raise rates, and long-term rates, like mortgages, declined to the best levels in a month. Let's discuss what happened and discuss the big news items to watch for this coming week. The Fed On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve issued its monetary policy statement and decided to hold […]

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The Fed Was Quiet, The Markets Were Not

This past week, home loan rates hovered near the highest levels in this century. Let's look at what moved the markets and look into the week ahead. European Central Bank Pauses Rates Hikes European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde did not hike rates this past week, citing economic weakness. This action and statement from […]

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Headwinds And Unsustainable Trends

This past week home loan rates touched the highest levels in this century. Let's talk about the recent headwinds for interest rates and other big events as we march toward the next Fed meeting on November 1st. Headwind #1 - QT Back in 2020, to stabilize the U.S. bond markets, the Federal Reserve began a […]

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Private Job Creations, Oil and Rates Fall

It was another wild week in the financial markets with interest rates backing away from the highest levels in decades. Let's discuss what happened and look at the news to watch for this coming week. JOLTS Report Jolts the Markets Last Tuesday, the JOLTS report, which shows how many jobs are available, ticked up much […]

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